Risk of persistent air leaks following percutaneous cryoablation and microwave ablation of peripheral lung tumors.

OBJECTIVES: To compare the incidence of persistent air leak (PAL) following cryoablation vs MWA of lung tumors when the ablation zone includes the pleura. METHODS: This bi-institutional retrospective cohort study evaluated consecutive peripheral lung tumors treated with cryoablation or MWA from 2006 to 2021. PAL was defined as an air leak for more than 24 h after chest tube placement or an enlarging postprocedural pneumothorax requiring chest tube placement. The pleural area included by the ablation zone was quantified on CT using semi-automated segmentation. PAL incidence was compared between ablation modalities and a parsimonious multivariable model was developed to assess the odds of PAL using generalized estimating equations and purposeful selection of predefined covariates. Time-to-local tumor progression (LTP) was compared between ablation modalities using Fine-Gray models, with death as a competing risk. RESULTS: In total, 260 tumors (mean diameter, 13.1 mm ± 7.4; mean distance to pleura, 3.6 mm ± 5.2) in 116 patients (mean age, 61.1 years ± 15.3; 60 women) and 173 sessions (112 cryoablations, 61 MWA) were included. PAL occurred after 25/173 (15%) sessions. The incidence was significantly lower following cryoablation compared to MWA (10 [9%] vs 15 [25%]; p = .006). The odds of PAL adjusted for the number of treated tumors per session were 67% lower following cryoablation (odds ratio = 0.33 [95% CI, 0.14-0.82]; p = .02) vs MWA. There was no significant difference in time-to-LTP between ablation modalities (p = .36). CONCLUSIONS: Cryoablation of peripheral lung tumors bears a lower risk of PAL compared to MWA when the ablation zone includes the pleura, without adversely affecting time-to-LTP. KEY POINTS: • The incidence of persistent air leaks after percutaneous ablation of peripheral lung tumors was lower following cryoablation compared to microwave ablation (9% vs 25%; p = .006). • The mean chest tube dwell time was 54% shorter following cryoablation compared to MWA (p = .04). • Local tumor progression did not differ between lung tumors treated with percutaneous cryoablation compared to microwave ablation (p = .36).

Sybil: A Validated Deep Learning Model to Predict Future Lung Cancer Risk From a Single Low-Dose Chest Computed Tomography.

PURPOSE: Low-dose computed tomography (LDCT) for lung cancer screening is effective, although most eligible people are not being screened. Tools that provide personalized future cancer risk assessment could focus approaches toward those most likely to benefit. We hypothesized that a deep learning model assessing the entire volumetric LDCT data could be built to predict individual risk without requiring additional demographic or clinical data. METHODS: We developed a model called Sybil using LDCTs from the National Lung Screening Trial (NLST). Sybil requires only one LDCT and does not require clinical data or radiologist annotations; it can run in real time in the background on a radiology reading station. Sybil was validated on three independent data sets: a heldout set of 6,282 LDCTs from NLST participants, 8,821 LDCTs from Massachusetts General Hospital (MGH), and 12,280 LDCTs from Chang Gung Memorial Hospital (CGMH, which included people with a range of smoking history including nonsmokers). RESULTS: Sybil achieved area under the receiver-operator curves for lung cancer prediction at 1 year of 0.92 (95% CI, 0.88 to 0.95) on NLST, 0.86 (95% CI, 0.82 to 0.90) on MGH, and 0.94 (95% CI, 0.91 to 1.00) on CGMH external validation sets. Concordance indices over 6 years were 0.75 (95% CI, 0.72 to 0.78), 0.81 (95% CI, 0.77 to 0.85), and 0.80 (95% CI, 0.75 to 0.86) for NLST, MGH, and CGMH, respectively. CONCLUSION: Sybil can accurately predict an individual's future lung cancer risk from a single LDCT scan to further enable personalized screening. Future study is required to understand Sybil's clinical applications. Our model and annotations are publicly available.[Media: see text].

Utility of Noncancerous Chest CT Features for Predicting Overall Survival and Noncancer Death in Patients With Stage I Lung Cancer Treated With Stereotactic Body Radiotherapy.

BACKGROUND. Noncancerous imaging markers can be readily derived from pre-treatment diagnostic and radiotherapy planning chest CT examinations. OBJECTIVE. The purpose of this article was to explore the ability of noncancerous features on chest CT to predict overall survival (OS) and noncancer-related death in patients with stage I lung cancer treated with stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT). METHODS. This retrospective study included 282 patients (168 female, 114 male; median age, 75 years) with stage I lung cancer treated with SBRT between January 2009 and June 2017. Pretreatment chest CT was used to quantify coronary artery calcium (CAC) score, pulmonary artery (PA)-to-aorta ratio, emphysema, and body composition in terms of the cross-sectional area and attenuation of skeletal muscle and subcutaneous adipose tissue at the T5, T8, and T10 vertebral levels. Associations of clinical and imaging features with OS were quantified using a multivariable Cox proportional hazards (PH) model. Penalized multivariable Cox PH models to predict OS were constructed using clinical features only and using both clinical and imaging features. The models' discriminatory ability was assessed by constructing time-varying ROC curves and computing AUC at prespecified times. RESULTS. After a median OS of 60.8 months (95% CI, 55.8-68.0), 148 (52.5%) patients had died, including 83 (56.1%) with noncancer deaths. Higher CAC score (11-399: hazard ratio [HR], 1.83 [95% CI, 1.15-2.91], p = .01; ≥ 400: HR, 1.63 [95% CI, 1.01-2.63], p = .04), higher PA-to-aorta ratio (HR, 1.33 [95% CI, 1.16-1.52], p < .001, per 0.1-unit increase), and lower thoracic skeletal muscle index (HR, 0.88 [95% CI, 0.79-0.98], p = .02, per 10-cm2/m2 increase) were independently associated with shorter OS. Discriminatory ability for 5-year OS was greater for the model including clinical and imaging features than for the model including clinical features only (AUC, 0.75 [95% CI, 0.68-0.83] vs 0.61 [95% CI, 0.53-0.70]; p < .01). The model's most important clinical or imaging feature according to mean standardized regression coefficients was the PA-to-aorta ratio. CONCLUSION. In patients undergoing SBRT for stage I lung cancer, higher CAC score, higher PA-to-aorta ratio, and lower thoracic skeletal muscle index independently predicted worse OS. CLINICAL IMPACT. Noncancerous imaging features on chest CT performed before SBRT improve survival prediction compared with clinical features alone.

Network-level prediction of set-shifting deterioration after lower-grade glioma resection.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to predict set-shifting deterioration after resection of low-grade glioma. METHODS: The authors retrospectively analyzed a bicentric series of 102 patients who underwent surgery for low-grade glioma. The difference between the completion times of the Trail Making Test parts B and A (TMT B-A) was evaluated preoperatively and 3-4 months after surgery. High dimensionality of the information related to the surgical cavity topography was reduced to a small set of predictors in four different ways: 1) overlap between surgical cavity and each of the 122 cortical parcels composing Yeo's 17-network parcellation of the brain; 2) Tractotron: disconnection by the cavity of the major white matter bundles; 3) overlap between the surgical cavity and each of Yeo's networks; and 4) disconets: signature of structural disconnection by the cavity of each of Yeo's networks. A random forest algorithm was implemented to predict the postoperative change in the TMT B-A z-score. RESULTS: The last two network-based approaches yielded significant accuracies in left-out subjects (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC] approximately equal to 0.8, p approximately equal to 0.001) and outperformed the two alternatives. In single tree hierarchical models, the degree of damage to Yeo corticocortical network 12 (CC 12) was a critical node: patients with damage to CC 12 higher than 7.5% (cortical overlap) or 7.2% (disconets) had much higher risk to deteriorate, establishing for the first time a causal link between damage to this network and impaired set-shifting. CONCLUSIONS: The authors' results give strong support to the idea that network-level approaches are a powerful way to address the lesion-symptom mapping problem, enabling machine learning-powered individual outcome predictions.